It now seems quite certain that the Fed will cut rates at the end of the month.
On Polymarket, a 25 basis point cut is considered likely at 92%, so much so that the markets have most likely almost entirely priced it in.
Despite this, Bitcoin seems to be in slight difficulty in recent days.
The Fed’s Rate Cuts
The Fed has kept interest rates unchanged from July 2023 to August 2024.
The curious thing is that they were at their highest in the last 20 years, but due to ongoing inflation, they couldn’t cut them.
In September of last year, it made a first cut, followed by another in November and a third in December. However, it then stopped.
Last month began a new possible sequence of cuts, also because even though inflation is still well above its target, the labor market has shown signs of weakening.
The one expected at the end of October would therefore be only the second cut of the year, and the fifth in the last three years.
However, while the end-of-month c
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