The Federal Reserve reduced its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.00%–4.25%, the first rate cut this year. The move, framed as a response to weakening labor data, signals the start of a cautious easing cycle.
Projections show two more cuts possible before year-end, with further reductions likely in 2026. Inflation remains above target, but Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized risk management over immediate price control, prioritizing stability in employment conditions.
Stablecoins will be quickly affected by this. Issuers like Tether and Circle have generated large profits by holding reserves in short-term Treasuries during the high-rate environment of the past two years. That income stream now begins to erode.
DeFi protocols that offered tokenized Treasury exposure face the same squeeze, with returns set to fall further if the Fed continues cutting into next year. A multi-cut easing cycle could substantially reduce stablecoin profitability, forcing issuers and protocols to adapt.
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