With US inflation center stage and oil-market supply guidance due, this is a data-heavy week where macro can decide whether Bitcoin’s tight consolidation resolves into fresh highs and the broader crypto market continues to explode further.
Crypto Market Braces For Major Week
The July Consumer Price Index arrives Tuesday, August 12, at 14:30 CEST (08:30 ET). The median economist call leans toward a firmer core and a still-contained headline: Bloomberg’s survey points to a 0.3% month-over-month increase in core CPI, while several desks expect headline CPI at 0.2% m/m and 2.8% y/y after 2.7% in June.
The Cleveland Fed’s real-time nowcast is in the same ballpark on the year-over-year prints, showing ~2.7% for headline and ~3.0% for core going into the release. The schedule is official; the nuance is that a 0.3% core m/m is consistent with core holding near 3% y/y, which markets would read as sticky but not re-accelerating—until tariffs or energy change the calculus.
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