The U.S.–China trade alignment and the Federal Reserve’s recent rate cut have eased macroeconomic pressures, creating favorable conditions for risk assets. Yet, Bitcoin’s next move will depend on whether it can confirm a breakout above the 100-day MA or hold the 200-day MA as structural support.
Until one side of this equilibrium breaks, the market remains in accumulation and consolidation mode, with volatility compression likely preceding the next major impulse move.
Technical Analysis
By Shayan
The Daily Chart
On the daily timeframe, Bitcoin has been oscillating between the 100-day MA near $114K and the 200-day MA around $109K, creating a well-defined equilibrium zone. The repeated rebounds from the 200-day MA signal that the $108K–$109K area continues to attract institutional demand, while the $114K–$116K range serves as a strong distribution zone.
This structure highlights the market’s current state of balance between buyers and sellers. The ongoing stabilization phase
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