Bitcoin’s price climbed above $97,000 on January 14, reaching its highest point since November.
The move happened as a well-known historical price pattern showed a clear deviation, leading analysts to debate whether the market’s fundamental structure is changing.
A Deviation From Historical Rhythm
According to analyst Egrag Crypto, for over a decade, Bitcoin’s yearly price candles followed a simple, repeating sequence: three consecutive green (up) years followed by a single red (down) year. This pattern matched up with the four-year halving cycle, where the year after a halving was typically bullish.
Egrag noted that this cycle has already broken that rhythm. The sequence from 2023 to 2025 was Green, Green, Red, deviating from the expected Green, Green, Green, Red pattern of past cycles. The market watcher assigned a 55% to 65% probability that 2026 ends green, framing 2025’s red candle as a cooling phase instead of a broader turn.
That view hinges on confirmation signals, in
We współpracy z: https://cryptopotato.com/bitcoin-cycle-shift-analyst-puts-55-65-odds-on-green-2026/
