Amid renewed United States attacks on Iran, a cryptocurrency trader has netted notable profits from betting that Washington would strike Tehran.
In this case, a trader identified as Vivaldi007 on the betting platform Polymarket earned about $385,000 by anticipating the military action, according to the latest on-chain data retrieved on February 28.
Insights show the trader, who joined Polymarket on February 8, 2026, began placing wagers on the likelihood of U.S. and Israeli strikes against Iranian targets.
Despite early setbacks from unsuccessful bets on various potential attack dates, the situation shifted following a coordinated U.S.-Israeli operation on February 28, 2026, targeting key Iranian facilities amid ongoing disputes over nuclear enrichment and regional influence.
Crypto trader’s bet on U.S. strikes in Iran. Source: Polymarket
Vivaldi007 spread investments across multiple February contracts, predicting strikes by specific dates, reflecting a firm belief in
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