Bitcoin price sits around $115,000 as the Federal Reserve meets this week. Policy risk concentrates around Wednesday’s Oct. 29 decision at 2 p.m. ET, followed by Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET.
Markets price a 25 basis point cut for this meeting with further easing odds into year end, according to the CME FedWatch methodology that maps fed funds futures to meeting-by-meeting probabilities.
The setup ties directly to Bitcoin’s macro channel, where guidance on the front end transmits to 10-year real yields and the dollar, then into ETF demand and derivatives positioning on the tape.
Flows frame the week. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs swung from a large outflow on Oct. 16 to a large inflow on Oct. 21, then a modest net gain on Oct. 24.
Concentration remains in the leaders, with cumulative nets since launch at IBIT plus $65.3 billion, FBTC plus $12.6 billion, and GBTC minus $24.6 billion, according to Farside.
Breadth outside the top two issuers has been inconsistent
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