According to comments from the creator of the stock-to-flow model, the familiar four-year cycle tied to Bitcoin halvings may no longer be a sure guide for traders.
The analyst — known as PlanB — warned that using just three past cycles to predict future tops is risky, and he said the next peak is not guaranteed to fall 18 months after the last halving in October.
Cycle Timing May Vary Widely
PlanB told followers that the top could arrive in 2026, or 2027, or even 2028, and that he is more focused on Bitcoin’s average price level than on a single high or low.
Reports have disclosed that some market participants believe $126,000 was the peak and expect BTC to slide below $100,000 next year. PlanB called that view “a big misunderstanding,” arguing that three cycles do not form a strong statistical pattern.
Bears think $126k was the top, and btc will fall below $100k, and 2026 will be a bear market mainly because … the 4 year cycle!?
IMO that is a BIG misunderstan
We współpracy z: https://www.newsbtc.com/news/youve-been-misled-the-4-year-bitcoin-cycle-doesnt-actually-exist-expert/
