Crypto Market Cycle Top or Bear Trap? Analysts Weigh In

Crypto Market Cycle Top or Bear Trap? Analysts Weigh In

Crypto markets have corrected by 7.3% with $340 billion leaving the space since their all-time high on August 14.
Bitcoin has led the losses, retreating 7.5% from its peak price, while Ethereum has lost 10% from its 2025 high, having failed to notch a new peak.

“Remarkable how every time you get a correction from new highs, so many people start to fret about the cycle top,” observed analyst and economist Alex Krüger on Tuesday.

Krüger is among many analysts and industry observers who have recently opined that the four-year crypto market cycle is a thing of the past.
Is the 4 Year Cycle Dead?
“The concept of a 4-year cycle in 2025 is misplaced,” he said, arguing that the four-year cycle “died two cycles ago, and 2021 was a coincidence, as it was macro-driven.”
The end of the 2021 market cycle was Federal Reserve-driven, not Bitcoin-specific, he said. The cycle ended because the Fed went “ultra-hawkish” in January 2022, not due to natural Bitcoin dynamics.
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